Imprecision in election polling has long been recognized. But advance polls are still useful in recognizing trends in voter preferences, and candidates’ weak points.
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
Articles on Joe Biden
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The US Department of Energy will review its process for approving new LNG projects.
China is asserting itself in the South Pacific, prompting efforts from the US and its allies to contain its influence.
A selection of analysis from our coverage of the war in Gaza over the past fortnight.
The centrality of race to US politics is, once again, a defining feature of the current presidential campaign.
While two-party preferred polling is steady, a majority of Australians support Labor’s changes to the stage 3 tax cuts.
The US attacks on military sites in Iraq and Syria are unlikely to further escalate conflict in the Middle East, he writes.
During a campaign speech in South Carolina, President Biden made it clear that he is not only running against Donald Trump but also against white supremacy.
The idea that the Swift-Kelce romance is some sort of deep-state plot is perhaps gaining traction in far-right circles because it lines up with the political right’s broader agenda and beliefs.
Democrats now have an issue to mobilise voters. For Republicans, however, it’s more complicated.
History tells us that US presidents tend to be cautious about foreign policy in an election year – especially in the Middle East.
Facing a parliamentary election in March, the Islamic Republic is trying to distract attention away from its economic woes with a show of strength.
The US maintains a two-state solution is still possible, but Israel’s leader – and a majority of its people – disagree.
If Biden decided not to stand again, another Democratic candidate could still be selected until the party’s convention.
A selection of analysis from our coverage of the war in Gaza over the past fortnight.
Trump’s fans think that his unpredictability was an asset in terms of his foreign policy. It wasn’t.
Trump stormed to victory in New Hampshire’s Republican primary – but his biggest challenge will be winning over independent voters.
The US and UK strikes on the Houthis will have limited impact on the group’s Red Sea attacks – and could cause Middle East tensions to spiral out of control.
Cuba’s economy – saddled by US sanctions and ill-timed reforms – is in dire straits.
In the wake of US attacks against Houthi militants in Yemen, a scholar of presidential power to use the military examines the history and present of the laws around US military action.
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Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Director of Research, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Adjunct Senior Fellow, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, RMIT University
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Assistant lecturer, CY Cergy Paris Université
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Professor of International Relations and Security, University of Bradford
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Honorary Professor of International Relations, University of the Witwatersrand
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Associate Professor and Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
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Professor, School of Public Policy and Administration, York University, Canada
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Teaching Fellow in International Security, University of Portsmouth
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Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
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Assistant Professor, Westminster College
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Professor of International Security, University of Birmingham
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
