John Major admitted to be too thin-skinned when his government started to crumble.
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There are reasons to hold off until the autumn – but there are other clues that still point towards May.
The foreign secretary wanted to embrace Beijing when he was prime minister but times have changed.
Victorian anti-vaccine literature shows that the fears and concerns remain largely the same today.
What does the future hold for Wales and Welsh Labour in the wake of Drakeford’s resignation?
Rishi Sunak’s former home secretary thinks she is speaking for the silent majority but most people disagree with her on key points – or have other things to worry about.
Fewer people are being ‘socialised’ into Conservative voting since the dominance of New Labour in the 1990s.
The results represent more than just dissatisfaction with local MPs – the national picture has shifted.
Infrastructure development in Northern England has been increasingly muddled in recent years. Few will be convinced by Sunak’s new pledge to fix this.
A prime minister who has been an MP for nearly a decade now wants to challenge 30 years of ‘vested interests’.
The prime minister has acknowledged that a narrative of national decline is setting in – but he has been unable to disentangle himself from it.
The UK Labour Party used to radically advocate for common ownership. But as private wealth in Britain benefits from ever greater tax breaks, anti-inequality sentiment is waning.
With his own MPs blocking his every policy, Sunak doesn’t appear able to get much done.
More byelections could be on the way.
Labour stands a good chance of taking one of three impending votes, while losing either of the other two would be very bad news for Rishi Sunak.
The relationship between net migration and support for the governing party is positive.
Penny Mordaunt’s seat is at risk while leadership hopeful Kemi Badenoch would be sitting pretty.
Forecasting is a tricky art but looking back at the relationship between local elections and subsequent general elections puts Labour on course for House of Commons majority.
Not a knockout blow but important gains for the opposition.
The prime minister is popular, his party is not. Which is more important as we head towards the next election?
Top contributors
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Paul Whiteley is a Friend of The Conversation.Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Senior Lecturer, Department of Government, University of Essex
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Professor of Politics, Queen Mary University of London
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, Lancaster University
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, University of Manchester
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Associate Tutor in Politics and Social Sciences, Edge Hill University
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, University of Hull
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Associate Professor of British Politics, University of Leeds
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Associate Professor of Politics, Richmond American International University
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Former Senior Lecturer in Comparative Politics
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Associate Professor in Politics and International Relations, Monash University
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Head of Politics, Sheffield Hallam University
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Founding Director of the Sir Bernard Crick Centre for the Public Understanding of Politics, University of Sheffield
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Senior Lecturer in Politics, University of Sussex
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Ashbel Smith Professor, School of Economic, Political and Policy Sciences, University of Texas at Dallas
