A new statistical model predicts the number of tropical cyclones up to four months before the start of the season from November to April.
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Articles on Tropical cyclones
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It’s only happened twice since naming started in 1950, and there’s an unusual twist to where many of the storms formed this year.
Tropical cyclones account for almost four in five natural disasters across Pacific Island nations. But a new forecasting tool now gives up to four months warning for the upcoming cyclone season.
Cyclone Amphan was one of the worst cyclones to hit Bangladesh in modern times. But thanks to local action, many lives were saved.
Massive cyclone that hit India and Bangladesh could have been so much worse.
Most homes are not as cyclone-ready as they could be. It seems lower insurance premiums aren’t enough of an incentive for owners to upgrade their homes, but a new study points to some solutions.
As storm directions change, countries that are outside the usual tropical storm zones need to ready themselves.
Southern and eastern Australia need to prepare for heatwaves and increased fire risk this summer, as forecasts predict hot, dry weather.
Tropical cyclones Idai and Kenneth have shown how important it is to integrate local information and resources with global scale forecasts and support.
Already heat-stressed countries will see the largest absolute increases in humid-heat and have the least ability to adapt.
CC BY-NC-ND5.61 MB (download)
Warmer oceans are contributing to more frequent tropical cyclones.
Women in disaster zones are frequently targeted by sexual predators who take advantage of their vulnerability.
Relocating communities to safer, less exposed areas can help people manage climate hazards, but it’s not a viable solution for everyone.
Climate change is making hurricanes more destructive, and may have boosted the intensity of cyclone Idai that hit Mozambique, Zambia and Malawi.
The recent storms provide a grim reminder of the prospect of future tropical cyclones in a region under continued threat from climate change.
At a very simple level, “weather” refers to day-to-day conditions. “Climate” describes the average over many years.
The frequency of intense tropical cyclones is increasing in the South Indian Ocean, a region that previously didn’t have these.
Cyclone season approacheth, but this year there’s a twist
The Conversation, CC BY31.4 MB (download)
Australia must come to terms with some fundamental shifts in our weather patterns. This month, Andrew Watkins from the BOM and climate scientist Joelle Gergis explore what's in store.
An ‘ex-hurricane’ will hit the UK and Ireland for the second consecutive year.
How do experts know when and where the next big hurricane is going to hit? A look at the complicated science of forecasting.
Top contributors
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Professor of Physical Geography, University of the Witwatersrand
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Professor of Physical Geography, James Cook University
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Head of Operational Climate Services, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Honorary Climate Research Fellow, School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne
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Associate Professor – Hydroclimatology, University of Newcastle
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Postdoctoral Researcher, University of Newcastle
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PhD Candidate, climate change science, Nagasaki University
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Honorary Professor of Hazards and Disaster Risk Sciences, University of Sydney
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Adjunct Fellow, Climate Change Research Centre, UNSW Sydney
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Assistant Professor of Meteorology, Mississippi State University
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Professor of Disasters and Health, UCL
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BOM, Australian Bureau of Meteorology
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Professor of Geography, School of Law and Society, University of the Sunshine Coast
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Associate Professor of Meteorology, Florida State University
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Professor, University of Tasmania
